Tomorrow is the day we’ve all been waiting for….
At 2:15pm, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release their policy statement. At 2:15pm we find out if Quantitative Easing becomes a reality. At 2:15pm we find out if mortgage rates are destined to retest record lows.
Let’s recap the “What If’s” one more time…
If you’re still a passenger on the float boat, it’s because you made a decision to pass on rates below 4.25% in favor of a chance to lock in a rate below 4.00%. It’s because you decided to PLAY THE RANGE UNTIL BERNANKE PLAYED YOU
On November 3, 2010 I anticipate the Federal Reserve will announce another Quantitative Easing program. This event is expected to lead consumer borrowing costs back down to record lows, which means we should see mortgage rates dip below 4.00% with much more attractive float down structures (in terms of how long it will take to recover points paid at closing).
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Posted via email from Title Insurance According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Commercial/Multifamily Delinquency Report, delinquency rates were mixed in the second quarter of 2010 for commercial/multifamily mortgage investor groups. As the delinquency rate for commercial real estate loans in mortgage backed securities (CMBS) reached an all-time high, the delinquency rate for other groups of mortgages, though still elevated, remains below levels seen in the early 1990s, and in some cases by large margins. MBA reports that between the first quarter and second quarter of 2010, the 60+ day delinquency rate on loans held in life company portfolios decreased by 0.02 percentage points to 0.29 percent; the 60+ day delinquency rate on multifamily loans held or insured by Fannie Mae increased 0.01 percentage points to 0.80 percent; the 60+ day delinquency rate on multifamily loans held or insured by Freddie Mac increased 0.03 percentage points to 0.28 percent; and the 90+ day delinquency rate on loans held by FDIC-insured banks and thrifts remained unchanged at 4.26 percent. Data assembled by Trepp, an independent provider of CMBS and commercial mortgage information, indicated that the delinquency rate for commercial real estate loans in CMBS has steadily accelerated, finally surpassing 9 percent after three consecutive months of somewhat moderate increases. The rate in September 2010 was up 13 basis points to 9.05 percent after increases of 21 basis points in August 2010; 12 basis points in July 2010; and 17 basis points in June 2010 and represents the highest delinquency rate since the development of the CMBS product line back in 1997. To see table please click here. However, this data does not tell the full story. While the delinquency rate increased somewhat significantly, an independent rating agency, Fitch Ratings, indicated that the increase was somewhat offset by a record number of loan resolutions. Fitch noted that nearly $2.1 billion of CMBS loans disappeared from its delinquency index in August through a combination of liquidations, repayments upon refinancing, corrections and modifications. It would appear that while delinquent loans are being worked out at an increased rate, the overall volume of new delinquencies continues to grow at a steady level. Posted via email from Title Insurance [Editor’s Note: On Wednesday, in the latest development in the “Mortgagegate” scandal, Fidelity National Financial Inc., the largest U.S. title-insurance firm, reversed course and said it wouldn’t require an indemnity agreement before insuring individual foreclosed properties. Money Morning’s Shah Gilani, a retired hedge-fund manager, warns that there’s a deep game being played, and provides investors with detailed insights, and advice on the steps to take.] On Oct. 8, Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) indemnified Fidelity National Financial Inc. (NYSE: FNF) against any losses that Fidelity might sustain in litigation over title insurance it writes on foreclosed homes – the same homes, coincidentally, that Bank of America wants to sell to new buyers. This arrangement amounts to U.S. taxpayers, who are the ultimate backers of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC), backstopping a giant, publicly held title-insurance company, which is backstopping a huge commercial bank, so that the bank can sell properties that it might not have proper title to. It sounds like a Wall Street version of the “Six Degrees of Kevin Bacon,” but it’s no game – it’s a daisy-chain scheme that once again sets American households up as the biggest losers. Click throught to the original article on this one. This guy got some interesting feedback Posted via email from Title Insurance
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