Housing Policy & Data
Rates for 30-year fixed-rate conventional mortgages fell 2 basis points to a new record low of 3.89% last week. The latest Beige Book from the Federal Reserve Banks continues to show a growing economic recovery led by consumer spending. However, the news was not all bright, as continued weakness in the housing market holds back a robust economic recovery. In the latest round in the Federal Reserve’s push for a broader mortgage refinancing program, a new study from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York shows that the economic benefit of home-loan refinancing to consumers far exceeds the effect of lost returns to investors who provide the residential financing. In the paper, the New York Fed argues that government or foreign investor (who own about 47% of securities backed by residential mortgages) spending on U.S. goods and services doesn’t depend “to any significant degree” on the income from their bonds. Meanwhile, another 8.3% of MBS are held by insurance and pension funds whose spending would spread out over a long period of time. However for distressed homeowners, 50 cents of every dollar saved in a mortgage payment is recycled back through the economy as additional spending.
In December banks filed their lowest number of foreclosures since November 2007. Foreclosures were down 35% in 2011, due to significant delays related to documentation and legal issues. However, these low numbers may only be temporary since there is a backlog of 3.5 million seriously delinquent mortgages. If banks get more aggressive on foreclosures, it could have a further dampening effect on home values. Analysts continue to get more bullish on home builders as evidence points to a resurgence in new construction in 2012. On Wednesday, Lennar Corp. reported that its fourth-quarter orders surged 20% from a year earlier, far surpassing analysts’ expectations. (Some analysts admitted they thought orders would decline.) Meanwhile, the latest National Association of Home Builders/First American Improving Markets Index shows that the number of areas showing improving market conditions jumped to 76 in January, up from 41 a month earlier. Could the market’s appetite for private label mortgage securities be returning? Redwood Trust Inc., the only company to issue so-called private label mortgage bonds since the housing market collapsed three years ago, sure hopes so as it prepares for its fourth such deal since 2008. The new issue of at least $405 million is larger than the two it sold in 2011. The market for privately issued residential mortgage-backed securities, which during the boom funded most of the U.S. housing market, has shrunk to $1.1 trillion outstanding from $2.4 trillion in 2007. Despite extremely stringent underwriting criteria (the mortgages have an average loan-to-value ratio of 62.8%, and average credit scores of 770), Redwood is adding large credit enhancements to warrant the necessary AAA rating.
via prepchapters.org
Posted via email from Title Insurance A group convened on the steps of the South Carolina State House Thursday to express their support of homeownership and their opposition to policy changes that might threaten American homeownership. The group – consisting of Realtors, housing industry professionals, politicians, business leaders, and community leaders – assembled to encourage elected officials “to protect homeownership from threats including scaling back or eliminating the mortgage interest deduction, reducing access to affordable mortgages and loans for home buyers and small businesses, and the foreclosure crisis,” according to an announcement on the National Association of Home Builders’ (NAHB) website. The outlook expressed at the rally mirrors widespread sentiment uncovered in a recent NAHB survey conducted earlier this month. About three-fourths of American voters said it is “appropriate and reasonable” for the federal government to promote homeownership through tax incentives. This view was shared by Democrats (84 percent), Republicans (71 percent), and Independents (71 percent) alike. “Those running for office in November need to understand that voters will not look kindly on any candidates who seek to dismantle the nation’s long-term commitment to homeownership,” said Bob Nielson, president of NAHB. In fact, while 73 percent of voters object to an elimination of the mortgage interest deduction, 68 percent claim they are less likely to vote for a candidate who proposes an elimination of the deduction, according to the NAHB survey. This assertion was consistent across party lines. The majority of survey respondents also opposed revisions that would limit the reach of the mortgage interest tax deduction, including a reduction in the deduction amount, deduction limits for households earning more than $250,000 per year, exclusion of second homes and home equity loans, and reductions for homeowners with mortgages loans greater than $500,000. “With the 2012 election season in full swing, candidates running for the White House and Congress would be wise to heed the will of the American voters, who have expressed broad support for government policies that encourage homeownership and oppose efforts to make it more difficult to get a home loan and to tamper with the mortgage interest deduction,” said Celinda Lake, president of Lake Research Partners, one of the firms that conducted the survey on behalf of NAHB. While Americans continue to harbor concern for the mortgage interest tax deduction, another mortgage-related tax deduction recently slipped out of existence. A mortgage insurance premium tax deduction expired at the start of the year, according to Bloomberg Businessweek. Posted via email from Title Insurance Does the Federal Reserve have good ideas for the housing market? That’s been the question since the Fed published its paper on housing last week. Critics see the Fed’s foray into housing policy as an irresponsible deviation from the central bank’s mission of managing interest-rate policy. Supporters of more aggressive action to stabilize the housing market argue that the Fed is playing a valuable role in pushing the Obama administration and regulators to do more. All of this debate ignores something that’s become increasingly clear: Due to practical and political limitations, changes to the government’s response to the foreclosure crisis are likely to involve tweaks on the margins rather than a massive revamp. The Fed’s paper delved into detail about ways the Obama administration could encourage more “underwater” homeowners who owe more on their loans than their properties are worth to refinance at today’s ultra-low rates. Here are some issues to consider: So what did the Fed suggest on refinancing? In their paper, Fed officials suggested ways to further revamp a program launched in February 2009 that allowed homeowners with mortgages backed by government controlled mortgage-finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to refinance if their properties have sunk dramatically in value. The initiative, called Home Affordable Refinance Program, or HARP, is already being expanded under changes rolled out in October that have been dubbed HARP 2.0. Why aren’t those changes sufficient? Fed officials have applauded the changes rolled out by the Obama administration and the Federal Housing Finance Agency but say more could be done to both improve HARP and reach borrowers who currently aren’t eligible for the program. They say the program could be expanded to help an additional 1 million to 2.5 million homeowners who don’t have loans backed by Fannie or Freddie. Doing so, however, is tougher than it sounds. As the Fed paper notes, Congress would need to change the rules by which Fannie and Freddie operate — an unlikely proposition the current environment of hyper-partisan gridlock. By law, Fannie and Freddie are barred from buying new loans in which borrowers owe more than 80% of their home’s current value — unless the borrower pays for mortgage insurance. The HARP program allows those loans to be refinanced because Fannie or Freddie already guarantee them and are on tap for losses if the borrower defaults. But Fannie and Freddie are unlikely to be able to take on new “underwater” loans that they did not already guarantee. The Fed paper, however, argues that allowing these borrowers to refinance through HARP would aid the economy and housing market, and therefore benefit Fannie and Freddie. Allowing those homeowners to refinance could reduce borrower’s payments “potentially reducing pressure on the housing market,” the Fed paper said. What would expanding refinancing further mean for Fannie and Freddie? Doing so would require a “potentially large” expansion of Fannie and Freddie’s balance sheet. That’s likely to be a tough sell at a time when many policy makers want to deemphasize Fannie and Freddie. “This may be the most politically unpalatable of the recommendations,”” wrote Rob Rowan, an analyst with Fitch Ratings. Furthermore, a massive refinancing proposal, which has long been rumored, is unlikely to come to pass, largely because it could dry up investment in the market for mortgage-backed securities, which needs to keep humming so Americans can obtain home loans. What else did the Fed propose? The Fed paper also suggested some more tweaks. Regulators further reduce fees that Fannie and Freddie charge for higher-risk borrowers who refinance (those fees were already cut in the October announcement). Fannie and Freddie could also “more comprehensively” waive their right to send back defaulted bad loans to lenders if they are refinanced through HARP. The paper noted that Fannie has taken steps to streamline refinancing by reducing that “putback” risk for all loans — including borrowers who owe less than 80% of their home’s current value. Establishing the same requirements for Fannie and Freddie, the paper said, “could facilitate more refinancing among this group of borrowers.” Brad German, a Freddie Mac spokesman, defended his company’s policy. “We believe we have struck a balance where we are providing a streamlined refinance opportunity for borrowers while also maintaining our rights as investors to enforce quality,” he said Posted via email from Title Insurance
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Voters Oppose Policies That Threaten American Homeownership
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Fed Pushes Refinancing, But Obstacles Abound – Developments – WSJ
By Alan Zibel
Continuing Ed for Title Agents
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