where-will-housing-bounce-back-most: Personal Finance News from Yahoo! Finance

If you live in a city like San Diego or Pittsburgh and own your home, you can probably count on a rise in its value this year. That’s the conclusion of a new study from Veros Real Estate Solutions, which found that 40% of major metro markets will see a bounceback in home values in 2011. Looking at all markets, Veros also found that cities with under 250,000 people will make up the majority of those with positive growth.

The survey comes at a time when the health of the U.S. housing market is in serious question. The national median U.S. home price is $168,800 — 1% below December 2009, according to the National Association of Realtors. The NAR blames the stagnant home prices on the rising sales of distressed homes.

“The modest rise in distressed sales, which typically are discounted 10% to 15% relative to traditional homes, dampened the median price in December, but the flat price trend continues,” says Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist.

But according to Vero Real Estate’s VeroForecast, there is a light at the end of the tunnel — at least for some. Using what it calls “advanced analytics and micro-market data,” the Santa Ana, California-based company says that smaller cities seem to be faring best with housing prices right now, a trend that should continue for the rest of 2011.

Citing data from December 2010 and projecting through December 2011, the report notes that “smaller metro markets with populations less than 250,000 make up the majority of the better appreciating markets.”

Such cities, which include Fargo, N.D. — ranked second overall — can expect home price appreciation of 2.5% to 3.5%% in 2011.

On the downside, Florida is expected to experience the most depreciation, with key areas like Orlando, Daytona Beach and Port St. Lucie all suffering the greatest percentage of housing price loss in 2010.

See the following chart for Vero’s top five and bottom five housing markets:

5 Strongest U.S. Housing Markets: Dec. 2010-Dec. 2011

San Diego, Calif. +3.5%
Kennewick, Wash. +3.4%
Pittsburgh, Pa. +2.7%
Fargo, N.D. +2.6%
Washington, D.C. +2.5%

5 Weakest U.S. Housing Markets: Dec. 2010-Dec. 2011

Reno, Nev. -7.2%
Orlando, Fla. -6.5%
Boise City, Id. -6.4%
Daytona Beach, Fla. -6.3%
Port St. Lucie, Fla. -6.3%

Regionally, the report sees more vigorous recovery in the South, with overall growth rates being the best in Texas, Louisiana and Arkansas. Besides Florida, the weakest regions for home prices are the pariahs of the housing crisis — California and Nevada.

Vero also says that while overall growth isn’t exactly robust, price trends are stronger than they were a year ago: “It is noteworthy that depreciating forecasts remain much better than those from a year ago with nothing worse than 7% depreciation,” says Eric Fox, an analyst at Vero Real Estate Solutions. “A year ago, we were seeing some markets with depreciation rates in the double-digit range.”

“Approximately 40% of all major metro areas are forecast to appreciate over the next 12 months, even though appreciation is expected to be mild,” he adds. “Looking out to the 12 to 24 month horizon, nearly 60% of markets are expected to appreciate. So while things aren’t happening rapidly, the forecast indicates they are getting better.”

That would certainly be great news for the embattled U.S. housing market. After years of stagnant growth, more key areas seem to be going in the right direction.

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Continuing Ed for Title Agents

Private Transfer Fee Ban Reintroduced in Pennsylvania State Legislature

Pennsylvania State Senator Wayne Fontana has re-introduced a bill to ban private transfer fee covenants in Pennsylvania, as the number of states with active legislation to ban the fees continues to swell.

The bill, SB 353, has been referred to the Urban Affairs and Housing Committee.  The bill prohibits new private transfer fee obligations and puts in place a disclosure requirement on private transfer fee covenants already in place.  No date for a hearing or other action on the bill is currently posted on the committee web page.

An identical bill, also introduced by Fontana, was considered in the Pennsylvania Senate last year and passed the Senate by a unanimous 49-0 vote.  But the Pennsylvania House did not take up the bill before the 2010 session ended, requiring a fresh start this year.

“Senate Bill 353 would impose a ban on all new private transfer fees after the effective date of the legislation,”  Senator Fontana wrote in a February  1st newsletter.  “Any person who records or enters into a private transfer fee agreement in their favor after the effective date would be liable for any damages resulting from that obligation including transfer fees, attorney’s fees and other costs to quiet title. The bill would also require the full disclosure of existing private transfer fees to buyers. Failure to do so would result in the agreement being unenforceable. The bill also sets up a process to free the property of that obligation. Finally, the bill requires that a person entitled to the private transfer fee must register (with the County Recorder of Deeds) their contact information and respond to inquiries promptly; failure to do so could result in an action to quiet title.”

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Continuing Ed for Title Agents

You’re Not Entitled to Your Own Facts, Even When Slamming MERS

There are legitimate, substantial concerns about the legal foundation of MERS– I think most folks who have followed the foreclosure mess can agree on that.  But there is also a lot of blatant misinformation out there coming from MERS critics, and some of it is coming from folks who are presenting themselves as experts on the issue.

For example, University of Missouri Kansas City professor of economics and frequent mortgage crisis blogger/pundit L. Randall Wray, a frequent and vocal critic of the banks and of MERS, just flat out makes stuff up regarding the recent Ibanez decision in Massachusetts in his article, Requiem for MERS (and the Banks That Created the Frankenstein Monster), which appeared yesterday on the Huffington Post. Wray claims that the Massachusetts Supreme Court decision in U.S. Bank v. Ibanez is one of several “recent developments that put the final nails in MERS’s coffin,” but from his writeup of the case, it is hard to fathom that he even read the case or has any familiarity with it whatsoever.

Slade Smith’s Blog ::

Professor Wray wrote:

Ibanez decision in Massachusetts.  Courts continue to chip away at the arguments made by banks and their Frankenstein creation, MERS, to justify foreclosure without proper documentation. MERS was manufactured by the industry to evade proper recording of property sales in county recorder’s offices. This not only cheated the recorders out of fees and Uncle Sam out of federal taxes, but it also broke the chain of title. The fiction perpetrated by MERS is that it is simultaneously a nominee of the true owner of the mortgage debt and at the same time it is the beneficiary of the security instrument. (You cannot simultaneously be the party of interest and the nominee, of course.) It also disclaims any financial interest in the mortgage and has no claim on the mortgage payments. But it claims that it can operate as the agent of unnamed owners of the mortgage instrument, unknown owners who–since they are unknown — have never designated MERS as agent. The Massachusetts Supreme Court ruled decisively against MERS’s claims, and a growing number of other state supreme courts (Nevada, New York, Kansas, Idaho) have agreed that MERS is only a nominee or “straw man” (as Kansas put it) with no standing to foreclose.

Here’s the facts: MERS had no “claim” in the Ibanez case– Ibanez’s mortgage was not even a MERS mortgage!

Furthermore, according to the land court case which the Massachusetts Supreme Court upheld, U.S. Bank might have been better off it his mortgage had been a MERS mortgage!  The reason that the land court judge threw out the Ibanez foreclosure was because U.S. Bank had not been properly assigned the mortgage at the time of the foreclosure sale, according to the financial entities’ own rules.  One of the possible ways that they could have been properly assigned the mortgage, according to the securitization agreements that the judge relied on in his decision, would have been if they had received an assignment of the mortgage in recordable form from the entity they claimed transferred the mortgage to them.  But for MERS mortgages, these agreements waived the requirement of an assignment in recordable form. 

As far as the Massachusetts Supreme Court decision?  Well, MERS is not even mentioned in that– not once.  Why would it?  Again, the mortgages at issue were not MERS mortgages!

So when Wray says that “[t]he Massachusetts Supreme Court ruled decisively against MERS’s claims” in the Ibanez case, he is just making stuff up out of thin air. The Ibanez decision had next to nothing to do with MERS at all.

Furthermore, Ibanez was not about “proper recording of property sales in county recorder’s offices” either, despite Wray’s claims.   The Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court decision states just the opposite in clear black and white letters:

We do not suggest that an assignment must be in recordable form at the time of the notice of sale or the subsequent foreclosure sale, although recording is likely the better practice. Where a pool of mortgages is assigned to a securitized trust, the executed agreement that assigns the pool of mortgages, with a schedule of the pooled mortgage loans that clearly and specifically identifies the mortgage at issue as among those assigned, may suffice to establish the trustee as the mortgage holder.

What is laughable in his piece is that Wray whines in his piece about his critics.  “Whenever those who are critical of MERS and the banksters post blogs about the multiple frauds, we are attacked by commentators — presumably industry hacks — who try to obfuscate the issues,” he says.  As someone who battled it out on the political blogs for years, I couldn’t help but notice that the bloggers who played fast and loose with the truth were often the same ones who thought that anyone who criticized them was an industry shill or had some other ulterior motive.  I guess the same holds true for professors!  If this Huffington Post piece is any indication of the quality of the professor’s work, Wray deserves critics and probably ought to have a few more of them. 

I understand that there are many thoughtful and knowledgeable people who have legitimate and substantial criticisms of MERS, and I agree with many of those criticisms. Many of these folks want to see and end to MERS in one fashion or another, for good and well considered reasons.  It may be tempting for otherwise thoughtful people to find common cause with folks like Wray who are outspoken opponents of MERS and the banks and want to see them destroyed. 

But I think it’s important to recognize that some folks are just interested grinding axes.  I think some of MERS’s critics are more interested in cultivating the choir they are preaching to than solving the many serious problems that we face– and that in their eagerness to pump themselves up in the eyes of their readers by piling on the deservedly unpopular banks, they actually end up standing in the way of progress by failing to talk about solutions in a meaningful way. Wray doesn’t seem really interested in solutions to the problems that MERS has posed, or integrity in land recording systems, or clean land titles out of foreclosure.  For example, check out how he casually tosses aside the entirety of the traditional land title system in one sentence when discussing Marcy Kaptur’s recent MERS bill:

In response to this mess, Representative Marcy Kaptur (Ohio) is going to introduce legislation to prohibit Fannie and Freddie from buying new mortgages that are registered in MERS. Since there is virtually no activity in mortgage markets save what Fannie and Freddie are doing, this would effectively take away all new business from MERS.

Further, her legislation would direct HUD to study the creation of a federal land title system to replace MERS while protecting rights of state and local governments. This is a sensible solution that would modernize the recording and tracking of property ownership. At the same time it would put out of business the hopelessly incompetent MERS, which has partnered with the banksters to perpetrate foreclosure fraud. Bye bye fraudsters.

I’m a big proponent of reform of land title recordation systems, but pseudo-reformers like Wray who throw out “solutions” like this just to pretend that they have the answers are the unwitting allies of those who would like to keep MERS as-is, such as ALTA, which failed to mention to its members in an alert that the only binding part of the Kaptur bill is not about creating a federal land title system, but rather about prohibiting federal insurance and guarantees on MERS mortgages.  ALTA apparently would like its membership to advocate for MERS without knowing that they are doing so. With statements like this, Wray and his ilk may help ALTA play up the minimal threat of a federal land title system.

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Continuing Ed for Title Agents

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